unspurious.calculators

Synthesis · Combining studies

Meta-Analysis Calculator

Pool effect estimates across studies under both fixed-effect and random-effects models, with heterogeneity (Q, I², τ²), a forest plot of the studies and the summary, and a funnel plot — the same picture that doubles as a publication-bias check.

Result

In plain English

Meta-analysis pools the results of many studies into one combined estimate, giving more weight to the more precise (usually larger) studies.

fixed vs random effects
Fixed-effect assumes every study is estimating one single shared truth. Random-effects allows the true effect to vary from study to study — the safer choice when studies disagree.
I² (heterogeneity)
How much of the variation between studies is genuine disagreement rather than chance. High I² means the studies aren't telling the same story.
forest plot
Each study shown as a point with its uncertainty bar; the diamond at the bottom is the pooled answer.
funnel plot
A symmetry check for publication bias: if small studies cluster on one side, some null results may simply be missing from the literature.
the input
Each study goes in as an effect estimate and its standard error (SE) — the smaller the SE, the more that study counts.

Frequently asked

What's the difference between fixed-effect and random-effects models?

Fixed-effect assumes every study estimates one common true effect; random-effects allows the true effect to vary between studies and gives a wider, usually more honest interval. When heterogeneity is non-trivial, prefer random-effects.

What does I² tell me?

I² is the percentage of the variation across studies due to real heterogeneity rather than chance — roughly 25% low, 50% moderate, 75% high. A high I² means the studies disagree, and a single pooled number may oversimplify.

Can meta-analysis fix publication bias?

No — if positive results were likelier to be published, the pool is built on a skewed sample and the summary is inflated. A funnel plot (included here) is a check, not a cure. See winner's curse & publication bias.

What is a forest plot?

A forest plot shows each study’s effect estimate as a square — sized by the weight the study carries — with a horizontal line for its confidence interval, and the pooled result as a diamond at the bottom. It lets you see at a glance whether the studies agree, which ones dominate the pooled estimate, and whether the overall result excludes “no effect”. It is the standard picture of a meta-analysis.